In episode 171, we welcome back our guest from episode 46, Raoul Pal. Raoul and Meb start with a chat about one of Raoul’s tweets, “Buy Bonds. Buy Dollars. Wear Diamonds.” Raoul explains that he sees global growth slowing after the longest recovery in history, as well as a number of countries in or nearing recession. That presents an opportunity in US Treasuries and Eurodollars.
The pair continue the conversation and get into how Raoul looks at the world. Raoul walks through his current view including his take on business cycle and yield curve indicators.
Meb then asks Raoul to explain “The Doom Loop.” Raoul lays out the idea that corporate debt has increased at an alarming rate since 2009 relative to household and government debt. He discusses what he’s seeing now, and the risk this poses to the global economy and asset prices.
As the conversation winds down, Raoul gets into some thoughts on gold and crypto.
All this and more in episode 171, including the greatest macro trade Raoul has ever seen.
Hendrik Bessembinder - Do Stocks Outperform T-Bills? | #532
GMO's Catherine LeGraw - Capitalizing on Global Asset Allocation in 2024 | #531
Professor Kenneth French on Risk, Return, and Rationality | #530
MEBISODE: T-Bills and Chill…Most of the Time | #529
Cliff Asness: Timely & Timeless Investment Wisdom | #528
Indexing Nevada PERS: Steve Edmundson’s $60 Billion Strategy | #527
MEBISODE: Should CalPERS Fire Everyone And Just Buy Some ETFs? | #526
Grant Williams & Peter Atwater: The Market is 'Long Abstraction, Short Reality' | #525
Tim Ranzetta, NGPF - Teaching America Personal Finance | #524
Whitney Baker on The Death of (Upside) American Exceptionalism | #523
How to Convert an SMA to an ETF with Wes Gray & Robert Elwood | #522
MEBISODE: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing
GMO's Tina Vandersteel on a "Once-in-a-Generation" Opportunity | #521
Drew Dickson on Navigating Behavioral Biases, U.S. vs. European Stocks, & Tesla | #520
Ben Mackovak on The Secret Sauce of Investing in Banks | #519
Jared Dillian on the Keys to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life | #518
Bruno Caratori - The Bitcoin ETF is FINALLY Approved. Now What? | #517
BlackRock's Rick Rieder on The State of Markets & The US Debt Problem | #516
Felix Zulauf – 2024 Macro Outlook Not Rosy | #515
Liz Simmie, Honeytree – A Quantamental Approach to ESG | #514
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