Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
Okay, buckle up because the Inflation Guy here is going to cover some big-time concepts. Wayyyy back in 2003, some guys named Jarrow and Yildirim explained how inflation acts just like foreign exchange, except not foreign and not on an exchange. No, no, stay with me here. Turns out they were right, and a lot of what is happening today - and the mistakes in interpretation that are being made - can be understood if you understand that the 'inflation FX market' has just changed in important ways. This is an important episode!
NOTES
Jarrow R, Yildirim Y (2003) Pricing treasury inflation protected securities and related derivatives using an HJM model. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 38(2):337–359. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=585828
Unidad de Fomento (Wikipedia entry): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unidad_de_Fomento
Chart: Nominal and inflation-adjusted Case-Shiller 10-City index, normalized to end of 2019
Chart: Nominal and Real S&P 500 Earnings, normalized to end of 2019
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Ep. 108: Revisiting Velocity - Myths and Reality
Ep. 107: Those Ten Dangerous Words
Ep. 106: This Month's CPI Report - A Potential Pony Situation
Ep. 104: Inflation Snippets
Ep. 103: This Month's CPI Report - Sticky Too Soon
Ep. 102: Gold and Crypto - Are Either, or Both, Real?
Ep. 101: Live Long and Prosper with Inflation-Linked Annuities
Ep. 100: Looking Back and Looking Forward
Ep. 99: This Month’s CPI Report - UGH!
Ep. 98: Will You Be Able to Trade Medical Care Inflation Soon?
Ep. 97: Inflation and Reinsurance - a Better Way
Ep. 96: Money Illusion - What it is and Why it Matters
Ep. 95: 2024 Call to Action
Ep. 94: This Month’s CPI Report - New Year, New Ewww
Ep. 93: This Month’s CPI Report - Sorry I Could Not Travel Both
Ep. 92: Safe Withdrawal Rates - Accounting for Inflation
Ep. 91: Quality Adjustment (?) in College Tuition Inflation
Ep. 90: This Month’s CPI Report - Miles to Go Before We Sleep
Ep. 89: Hedge ’Em All - the Price of Risk
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