As of the past 24 hours, the Atlantic hurricane season continues to show signs of activity with one primary system under observation by the National Hurricane Center. According to the latest advisory, a broad area of low pressure centered in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, known as Invest 91L, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The system is drifting slowly northward, with environmental conditions expected to gradually become more favorable for development in the coming days. The...
As of the past 24 hours, the Atlantic hurricane season continues to show signs of activity with one primary system under observation by the National Hurricane Center. According to the latest advisory, a broad area of low pressure centered in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, known as Invest 91L, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The system is drifting slowly northward, with environmental conditions expected to gradually become more favorable for development in the coming days. The National Hurricane Center currently gives it a 40 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days.
Despite its disorganized state, coastal regions along the western and central Gulf Coast, including portions of Texas and Louisiana, are being cautioned by the National Weather Service to prepare for increased moisture and moderate rainfall by midweek. While no hurricane watches or warnings have been issued yet, forecasters are closely monitoring potential changes in atmospheric wind shear and sea surface temperatures which could allow the system to strengthen.
Farther east in the Atlantic basin, no new tropical cyclones have formed, but forecasters from NOAA note above-average ocean temperatures stretching from the central Atlantic to the southeastern Caribbean, which may set the stage for increased storm activity later this month. Colorado State University’s seasonal outlook, updated last week, continues to call for an above-normal season, citing La Niña conditions and record-setting ocean warmth as key contributors.
Meanwhile, in the Pacific region, the remnants of a dissipated tropical storm near southern Mexico remain offshore and are not expected to redevelop. However, localized heavy rainfall and flooding concerns linger across southern coastal Mexico, prompting flash flood warnings in Chiapas and Oaxaca.
Meteorologists from The Weather Channel are also tracking a broad area of disturbed weather near the coast of Central America. Although current development chances remain low, it may contribute to widespread showers over parts of Honduras and Nicaragua.
Looking ahead, increased tropical activity is anticipated over the next two weeks as the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season approaches in early September. Several forecast models indicate a potential uptick in tropical wave development moving westward from Africa over the coming days. Coastal residents are advised to stay updated with frequent forecasts and prepare emergency plans in anticipation of a more active phase ahead.
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