This is a special edition of Multipolarity on The Economic Consequences Of The War.
In 1919, JM Keynes wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace. Predicting the death of the old world order after Europe’s first unsuccessful attempt at suicide.
We aren’t yet at peace, but the economic consequences of the present war in the middle of Europe are starting to come into view.
Consequences for NATO as a new study shows that in order to meet their target of 2% of GDP, European Nato members will need to increase spending by €56 billion every year.
For sanctions policy as Azerbaijan records a 2000 % spike in car sales from Britain.
And for industry in The Coming Multipolar Age, as Chinese production leaves Western Production for dust.
This week: we’re going to be moving through each in turn, to build up a composite picture of what tomorrow will look like, whatever the exact outcome of the Ukraine War.
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Twenty Years of Monetary Failure, The Deindustrial Revolution, Arab Autumn
Special Edition with Harvard's Neo-Realist Stephen Walt: The Balance of Threat
Quit All That Yellen, The Chips Fall Where They May, Multipolar Metallurgy
Avant Lagarde, The IRA Blows Up, Xi Gets A Brazilian
"The Leak", Multipolar Macron, Rare Earth Getting Rarer
CPTPP: Trade Deal or No Deal, Macron's Beijing Bargain, Cast No Shadow Banking
Tanking Banking, French Toast, Bi Bi's Boo Boo
Special Edition: A Q&A with Collingwood & Pilkington
Samo Burja: The Three Mega-Trends That Will Define The 21st Century
Silicon Valley Bailout, All Butter No Guns, The Art of Peace
An OPEC for Lithium, World War Three, The Goulash Archipelago
The Great Divergence, Chips With Everything, Africa's New Rumble In The Jungle
All Turkey's Christmases, Materiel World, Chinese Burns
Ireland's Migration Riots, The Global Popularity Contest, America Hits the Bongbong in the Philippines
The Balloon Goes Up, Sanctions Busting, Nigeria's Stablecoin Faceplant
Housing Crash 2.0, The Rebalancing Act, A North-South Silk Road
Special Edition: Brazil and Argentina form a currency union
The WTO Crumbling, Mining's Green Moment, China Goes Gaucho
1. The Golden Whale, 2023 in Crystal Balls, All the Chips in China
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