This week on Sinica, Kaiser is joined by Michael J. Mazarr, author of the book Leap of Faith: Hubris, Negligence, and America's Greatest Foreign Policy Tragedy, which examines the decision to invade Iraq in March 2003. Mike is a senior political scientist at the Rand Corporation and a former professor at the National War College, and he warns of certain parallels between what happened 20 years ago and the growing sense of urgency and moral imperative to confront China that he now senses in Washington.
3:40 – Patterns that lead to poor decision-making in the realm of foreign policy and warfare
8:30 – Parallels between American discourse on Iraq and China
13:54 – American exceptionalism and the missionary mindset
15:51 – Much like the US experience after 9/11, could an equivalent “deeply felt imperative” trigger catastrophic conflict with China?
21:15 – The danger of moralistic thinking overriding rational cost-benefit analysis
27:37 – What does Washington hope to gain from the imputation of CCP illegitimacy?
31:47 – Debunking the claim that Washington exaggerates threats for the sake of increasing the defense budget
35:49 – The role of media and Congress in the lead-up to the Iraq war
40:49 – The difference between effective policymaking and policy negligence: assessing the Bush and Biden administrations
47:29 – Adapting the liberal “rules-based international order” to reflect contemporary realities
52:27 – The shortcomings of a reductionist “democracy vs. authoritarianism” foreign policy
A full transcript of this podcast is available at TheChinaProject.com.
Recommendations:
Mike: Mr. X and the Pacific by Paul Heer; The Guardians: Kingman Brewster, His Circle, and the Rise of the Liberal Establishment by Geoffrey Kabaservice
Kaiser: Babel: Or the Necessity of Violence: An Arcane History of the Oxford Translators' Revolution by R.F. Kuang
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Avoiding ideological conflict with Beijing: Thomas Pepinsky and Jessica Chen Weiss
How China escaped shock therapy: Isabella Weber unpacks the debates of the 1980s
The Chinese Communist Party at 100
China's population conundrum, with UNC demographer Yong Cai
COVID-19 origins revisited, with Deborah Seligsohn
Journalist Andrew Jones on China's space program
Chinese college students in the U.S., with Yingyi Ma
China, Russia, and the U.S.: Does the 'strategic triangle' still matter?
Orville Schell on his novel, My Old Home: A Novel of Exile
Margaret Lewis on ethnic profiling in the DOJ's China Initiative
China’s Heart of Darkness
U.S.-China climate cooperation in a competitive age
Searching for the six Chinese survivors of the ‘Titanic’
Beethoven in Beijing
China's new youth, with Alec Ash and Stephanie Studer
China's COVID-19 response and the virus's origins, with Deborah Seligsohn
Ryan Hass on his new book, ‘Stronger’
The parallel world of Chinese tech, with Lillian Li
Cheng Lei: The detention and arrest of an Australian CGTN reporter
Getting Chinese politics wrong, with Jude Blanchette
Create your
podcast in
minutes
It is Free