Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
This morning's Payrolls Report was weaker-than-expected; among other things it included an increase in the Unemployment Rate to 3.9% - fully 1/2% higher than April's low for that number. Does this mean that we are going to have slower wage growth, and slower inflation? Or possibly one of those and not the other?
And what does it mean for growth? The Inflation Guy reviews the historical record of prior periods when the Unemployment Rate rose off a prior low, and reaches an unfortunate conclusion.
NOTES
Blog Callback: “The Phillips Curve is Still Working Just Fine”
Blog Callback: “Money Velocity Update!”
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Ep. 10: A High-Velocity Tour of Velocity
Ep.9: This Month‘s CPI Report - A Watershed Moment
Ep.8: Hari Seldon, Psychohistory, and the Failings of Modern Macroeconomics
Ep. 7: Rents and Sensibility
Ep. 6: Evergrande and Inflation - Why the Model Matters
Ep. 5: Stagflation from a Monetarist‘s Perspective
Ep. 4: The Making of an Inflation Index
Ep. 3: Powell's Jackson Hole Perspectives on Inflation
Ep. 2: Diamond/Water Paradox
Ep 1: What I Believe
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