Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Episode 167 Is Boris Johnson now inevitable and is he a vote winner?
Polling Matters - Episode 166 Polling round-up. Euros, wacky polls, Tory leadership and Peterborough
Polling Matters - Episode 165 What is going on with the EU election polls?
Polling Matters - Episode 164 Looking back at the Local Elections and looking ahead to the Europeans
Polling Matters - Episode 163 What's going to happen in the European elections?
Polling Matters - Episode 162 Tory leadership runners and riders
Polling Matters - Episode 161 What's going on and what do the public think?
Polling Matters - Episode 160 Labour past and present with Theo Bertram / How does Labour respond to TIG?
Polling Matters - Episode 159 Labour's Brexit shift, TIG voters vs the SDP & EU parliament elections
Polling Matters - Episode 158 How popular is The Independent Group?
Polling Matters - Episode 157 Is a no deal Brexit now the most popular outcome with the public?
Polling Matters - Episode 156 Deal or no deal? Plus are the Tories really ahead in the opinion polls?
Polling Matters - Episode 155 What do Labour and Tory Party members think about Brexit?
Polling Matters - Episode 155 May fights on - so what now?
Polling Matters - Episode 154 Can May win the 'meaningful vote' and what happens if she doesn't?
Polling Matters - Episode 153 Emergency pod. What do the public think of May's Brexit deal?
Polling Matters - Episode 152 What now for Trump and have voters changed their minds about Brexit?
Polling Matters - Episode 151 US midterm mini-series (part three) w/ GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini
Polling Matters - Episode 150 US Midterms w/ Ariel Edwards-Levy
Polling Matters - Episode 149 US Midterms special w/ Anthony Scaramucci
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