Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
Okay, buckle up because the Inflation Guy here is going to cover some big-time concepts. Wayyyy back in 2003, some guys named Jarrow and Yildirim explained how inflation acts just like foreign exchange, except not foreign and not on an exchange. No, no, stay with me here. Turns out they were right, and a lot of what is happening today - and the mistakes in interpretation that are being made - can be understood if you understand that the 'inflation FX market' has just changed in important ways. This is an important episode!
NOTES
Jarrow R, Yildirim Y (2003) Pricing treasury inflation protected securities and related derivatives using an HJM model. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 38(2):337–359. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=585828
Unidad de Fomento (Wikipedia entry): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unidad_de_Fomento
Chart: Nominal and inflation-adjusted Case-Shiller 10-City index, normalized to end of 2019
Chart: Nominal and Real S&P 500 Earnings, normalized to end of 2019
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Ep. 90: This Month’s CPI Report - Miles to Go Before We Sleep
Ep. 89: Hedge ’Em All - the Price of Risk
Ep. 88: Does Slower Jobs Growth Portend Lower Inflation?
Ep. 87: Confusing Price Effects and Quantity Effects
Ep. 86: If Gold is Like TIPS, Should I Buy it?
Ep. 85: This Month’s CPI Report - The Hard Part Has Begun
Ep. 84: Is it Time to Buy TIPS?
Ep. 83: Inflation Bookshelf
Ep. 82: Why Endowment CIOs Should Operate in Real Space
Ep. 81: CPI Report Summary - The Easy Part is Over
Ep. 80: Hedonic Adjustment and Why You Shouldn’t Hate It
Ep. 79: Seasonal Adjustment and Inflation
Ep. 78: Why China’s Economic Weakness Isn’t Deflationary
Ep. 77: This Month’s CPI Report - Don’t Get Used to It!
Ep. 76: Why Does Inflation Matter?
Ep. 75: Where Are We in the Inflation Tale?
Ep.74: Inflation Folk Remedies
Ep. 73: This Month’s CPI Report - the Longest Journey
Ep. 72: Chapwood Index vs CPI – Which is the Better Inflation Index?
Ep. 71: 5 Simple Ways an Endowment Can Improve its Inflation-Protection Allocation
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