This Episode We go over the "Bets we got wrong"
21-11=66% wk 3 *(52.5% is break even)
60-38=62% (Year To Date) =$19,000.00 ish profit
You learn more from the bets you got wrong than the bets you got right
Link To Hawthorne Effect
www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hawthorne-effect.asp
“Most expensive advice is bad advice”
Process is
1)Research
2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)
3)Rigorously apply logic
4) Make a good decision that consistently results in free cash flow, profit and money.
Podcast is actionable information in real time to monetize the outcomes of the games
However "Salesman think short term-businessman and women think long term"
We have 1000% ROI -Return on investment. "Higher level thinking is long term thinking"
Meaning 10 times more money than what you started with by listening o the Podcast
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting
Regression To The Mean
As Robert Glazer writes "The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.
Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.
We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. "
"Regression to the mean" plays out its importance with betting lines
How To Wager March Madness 2023 games Part 3-2023
How To Wager March Madness 2023 games Part 2-2023
How To Wager March Madness Part 1-2023 (Audio Fundamental Podcast Versio
Super Bowl 57 (LVII ) Betting Expert Preview Part 2-2023
#MotivationMonday Our environment can have a massive impact on our emotions, but have we ever thought about how You are impacting your environment?
Super Bowl Betting Expert Preview Part 1-2023
NFL Championship Week Lessons Learned 2023 Betting Briefing
Motivation Monday Decisions Decisions Decisions
NFL Expert Super Championship Week Picks Side and Total Scott is 78% so far (52.5% is breakeven)
Motivation Monday Stop The Same Mistakes
NFL Expert Free Picks Playoffs 2023 Every Side And Total Divisional Round
NFL Expert Free Picks Super Wild Card Weekend Wrap up Hawthorne Effect
NFL Expert Free Picks Week 18 Wrap Up Hawthorne Effect
NFL Expert Free Picks Week 18 Every Game Side And Total 61.1% for the Year 52.5% Is Break Ev
NFL Expert Free Picks Week 17 Wrap Up Hawthorne Effect
NFL Football Line Change Live Stream Insight Sunday Week 17
NFL Expert Free Picks Week 17 Every Game Side And Total 59.9% for the Year 52.5% Is Break Even
College Football Bowl Season 2022 Expert Picks Every Side And Total Part 2
Week 16 NFL Experts Picks ”Wrap Up” Hawthorne Effect Podcast You learn more from losses than defeat
NFL Expert Picks Week 16 Every Game Side And Total 59.9% for the Year 52.5% Is Break Even
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