David Osman of the IRF is joined by David Metzner and Chris Czerwinski of ACG Analytics.
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ACG Analytics is an independent research firm that translates public policy for investment fund managers and analysts. Their research focuses on specific policy issues and actions in the United States, the European Union, Asia and Latin America. They anticipate how government policies in key markets may impact on investor strategies.
In this podcast David Metzner and Chris Czerwinski discuss the prospects for the US economy in the run-up to the US presidential and congressional elections in early November. They point out that the stimulative fiscal policy and potentially lower interest rates should support economic activity this year, but there is no feel-good factor about the US economy in the way that there was before the global Covid pandemic.
They highlight the key policy differences between the Democrats and the Republicans and emphasise the importance of the key battleground states in determining the outcome of the US presidential election. Their state-by-state analysis suggests that President Biden could achieve a narrow victory, which could then cause some initial social instability given the fervour of many Trump supporters.
David and Chris then discuss the main economic and geopolitical challenges that the USA will likely face in 2025 and beyond. In conclusion they highlight some of the attractions of the USA from an investment perspective.
"The US Economy After The Great Interruption" David Ranson, HCWE & Co.
"Is the Game up for the UK Economy?" Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
"Top Trades Around the World in 2021" Damanick Dantes, Dantes Outlook
"The Outlook for Commodity Prices in 2021" Kathleen Kelley, Queen Anne's Gate Capital
"Do Markets Face a Potential 'Minsky' Moment Collapse?" Ron William, RW Advisory
"Biden, Brexit and the Pandemic in 2021 & 2022" Helen Thomas, Blonde Money
IRF Update 2021 Q1
"Video Gaming Sector: Highlights of 2020 and Thoughts on 2021" Eric Kress, Gossamer Consulting Group
"If There is a Year to Be Long Risk, it is 2021!" Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, Dwor-Frecaut Macro
"US Politics and Economics in 2021: The Establishment Strikes Back" Brian Pellegrini, Intertemporal Economics
"The Big Liquidity Story" Michael Howell, CrossBorder Capital
"China's Development Plans for 2021-2035" Charles Hess, Inferential Focus
"How ESG Investing Can Consistently Generate Alpha" François Boutin-Dufresne, Sustainable Market Strategies
"The Existential Threat Facing the European Union in 2021 and 2022" Brunello Rosa, Rosa & Roubini Associates
"The Outlook for Inflation: The Impact of Regime Change" Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
"The US Economy: Advancing without Effective Monetary or Fiscal Policy" David Ranson, HCWE
"The Five Phases of Empire" David Murrin, Global Forecaster
"China's Plan for the Next 5 Years" William Hess, PRC Macro
"The Outlook from Washington - Biden or Trump? The Policy Implications" James Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners
"Rising Long-term Bond Yields and Their Portfolio Implications" Michael Belkin, The Belkin Report
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