What is predicting software development like?
For example, is it more like forecasting a hurricane? Or, more like forecasting the repeat manufacturing of a physical widget?
What is the appropriate level of certainty? What effect should that have on our product thinking and practices?
Join us as we explore predictability and flow with Daniel Vacanti. We not only discuss forecasting hurricanes vs. forecasting product development, but we also dive into thinking in bets like a poker player, continuous forecasting, and bankroll management. We talk through the marketability of rational uncertainty vs. overconfidence. We round it out with planning, kanban, flow, and foundational flow metrics like work item aging.
Video and Show Notes: https://youtu.be/dy2KQtlDaQ4
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