This week's topic, technically speaking, the S&P500 achieves a "Golden Cross" on 2/2/2023, and historically, that is a good thing.
For the better part of the second half of 2022, viewers of financial news and readers of internet financial newsletters were bombarded with a constant negative message supposedly "backed up" by an ominous chart of the S&P 500. The negative messaging was the coming "collapse" of the US stock market in the 4th quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023. This is even though the S&P500 had already dropped over -27.5% peak to trough in nominal terms and – 35% in real terms from its early 2022 peak. These declines were in line with the average bear market, the average recession decline for stocks, and normal mid-term 2nd-year Presidential decline.
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What If Part Two: The Two Rules
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7th Inning Stretch: The Scorecard
Are We There Yet?
Burying the Lede: Fear Sells
Taper Tantrum? Seasonal Swoon?
Seasonal Swoon? That‘s Not Our Tune
Newsletters – Great Business...but their Advice? Exercise Caution!
Bad ”Breadth” You Say? Problem Solved and Bears Gored by the Bull...Again
Second Half Outlook Breakdown - Part Four: Demographics
Second Half Outlook Breakdown - Part 3: Volatility is Overstated
Second Half Outlook Breakdown - Part 2: Federal Reserve Liquidity
Second Half Outlook Breakdown - Part One: It‘s a Bull Market
Let the Good Times Roll
Equities, rotation and inflation: Growth stocks versus value
Stalled and waiting: Goldilocks forthcoming in H2 2021
Waiting: Whipsawing Away
Patience Required to Wait for “Curve” ball, Stock Talk podcast, 2021-05-21
Summer Stall for a Bull Market, Stock Talk podcast, 2021-05-14
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