Why long-term U.S. stock market outperformance could be because it has avoided major catastrophes. Does an over-reliance on historical U.S. stock returns when modeling retirement outcomes lead to spending rates that are too high?
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Show Notes
Homefacts
Survivorship Bias—Matt Rickard
Is The United States A Lucky Survivor: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach by Jules H. van Binsbergen, Et al.—SSRN
The Financial History of Emerging Markets: New Indices by Bryan Taylor—SSRN
The (Time-Varying) Importance of Disaster Risk by Ivo Welch—Financial Analyst Journal
The Safe Withdrawal Rate: Evidence from a Broad Sample of Developed Markets by Aizhan Anarkulova, Et al.—SSRN
The 2.7% Rule for Retirement Spending by Ben Felix—YouTube
Trends in Retirement and Retirement Income Choices by Tiaa Participants: 2000–2018 by Jeffrey R. Brown, Et al.—SSRN
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