Rajiv Sethi – Taking Bets on the Presidency

Order Glenn's memoir, LATE ADMISSIONS: CONFESSIONS OF A BLACK CONSERVATIVE. Available here or wherever you get your books: https://wwnorton.com/books/9780393881349

0:00 Rajiv’s report from the FIRE conference

3:11 Roland Fryer’s keynote address

13:26 Ta-Nehisi Coates’s humanist universalism

17:25 “Tolstoy is the Tolstoy of the Zulus”

18:50 Rajiv’s reading of Coates’s stand on “apartheid”

31:55 The gap between election forecasting models and prediction markets

36:52 The limits of models and markets

39:59 Rajiv: The markets show us a balance between narratives about the election

44:17 Is one crypto trader manipulating the prediction markets in favor of Trump?

53:12 Rajiv: Prediction markets may have sent early signals about January 6

55:19 Rajiv’s family history with Kamala Harris

57:45 The new prominence of Indian Americans in politics

1:03:07 The axiom of antiessentialism

Recorded October 27, 2024

Links and Readings

Rajiv’s Substack, Imperfect Information

Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression

Lara Bazelon’s 2022 Atlantic essay, “The ACLU Has Lost Its Way”

Glenn’s 2021 conversation with Bazelon

Glenn’s 2023 conversation with Erec Smith

Eugene Volokh on the Hamline University-Prophet Muhammad painting controversy

Ta-Nehisi Coates’s book, The Message

Coates’s 2010 Atlantic essay, “The Ghost of Bobby Lee”

Ralph Wiley’s book, Dark Witness: When Black People Should Be Sacrificed (Again)

Last week’s TGS debate about The Messsage

Orlando Patterson’s book, Slavery and Social Death: A Comparative Study

Glenn’s book, The Anatomy of Racial Inequality

Glenn’s memoir, Late Admissions: Confessions of a Black Conservative

Polymarket

Recorded October 27, 2024

Links and Readings

Rajiv’s Substack, Imperfect Information

Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression

Lara Bazelon’s 2022 Atlantic essay, “The ACLU Has Lost Its Way”

Glenn’s 2021 conversation with Bazelon

Glenn’s 2023 conversation with Erec Smith

Eugene Volokh on the Hamline University-Prophet Muhammad painting controversy

Ta-Nehisi Coates’s book, The Message

Coates’s 2010 Atlantic essay, “The Ghost of Bobby Lee”

Ralph Wiley’s book, Dark Witness: When Black People Should Be Sacrificed (Again)

Last week’s TGS debate about The Messsage

Orlando Patterson’s book, Slavery and Social Death: A Comparative Study

Glenn’s book, The Anatomy of Racial Inequality

Glenn’s memoir, Late Admissions: Confessions of a Black Conservative

Polymarket

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