Global Data Pod Weekender: Risks of a Hiking Huff

Global policy rates outside China/Turkey are up over 300bp in the past year. Beyond the direct impact of higher borrowing costs on growth, the risks are that something breaks in the financial system. From the GFC to the Taper Tantrum, central banks have learned a lot and the rapid response to the pandemic was a case in point. But the UK flap is also a reminder that there are unknown unknowns to worry about. For now, central banks are focused in inflation—to be underscored by next week’s expected 75bp ECB hike and even a possible shift in tone from the BoJ.

Speakers:

Bruce Kasman

Joseph Lupton

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