Global Commodities: Another Thirteen

Acknowledging the notable slowdown in drilling activity, we now expect annual US crude oil output, including condensate, to increase by 362 kbd in 2024 and 395 kbd in 2025. While oil recovered per foot drilled in the US shale basins fell 12% since its peak in 2021, operational efficiencies, which began being implemented more widely last year, are more than offsetting declining productivity and relatively low rig count. On annualized basis, we project another 400 kbd growth in US NGLs supply in 2024 and an additional 350 kbd in 2025. Combined, we estimate total US oil liquids production will grow by 762 kbd in 2024 and 745 kbd in 2025.

Speakers:

Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities and Oil Research 

This podcast was recorded on 14 June 2024.

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