In Episode 321 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with bestselling author, renowned historian, economist, and theorist of generational change, Neil Howe.
Twenty-five years ago, Neil and his late co-author William Strauss put forward a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back over the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly 80 to 100 years, with each composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about 25 years.
The last of these eras is always the most perilous. It’s a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution. The authors called it the Fourth Turning, and Neil joins us today to explain why he thinks that the fourth turning has finally arrived, what it means for those of us living during this period, and how his theory of generational change can help us navigate it with courage, competency, and a new-found sense of resiliency that may seem unimaginable to us today.
Howe and Kofinas spend the first hour of their conversation laying the foundation for his theory, discussing the four different seasons of the saecula, as well as the four different generations that propel it forward.
They spend the second hour applying that framework to the Fourth Turning itself, discussing what it would take to consolidate our society, what an existential threat to our nation’s survival will look and feel like, and what we can do to prepare ourselves for this great national challenge that will draw all other problems into it and require the extraordinary mobilization of most Americans.
You can subscribe to our premium content and gain access to our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports (or Key Takeaways) at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.
If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page. If you still have questions, feel free to email info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you.
If you enjoyed listening to today’s episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following:
Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed
Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify
Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/
Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas
Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou
Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io
Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod
Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas
Episode Recorded on 07/24/2023
The Kazakhstan Protests & Russia's Standoff With the West | Joanna Lillis
Is America Undergoing a Narrative Reset or Realignment? | Saagar Enjeti & Marshall Kosloff
Why Putin Plans to Invade Ukraine & What the West Can Do About It | Dmitri Alperovitch
Meditations on Courage & Why Fortune Favors the Brave | Ryan Holiday
The 'Restart of History' & How to Invest in a Broken Economy | Demetri Kofinas
The Power of Independent Voices & How to Make It in the Gig Economy | Doomberg
How the US Navy Creates Prosperity & Why We'll Miss It | Gregg Easterbrook
Jim Grant on What Inflation Means for Asset Values, Crypto, and Meme Stocks
What Happened to the American Economy & How to Fix It | Julius Krein
The Lab-Leak Hypothesis & the Origin of Covid-19 | Alina Chan & Matt Ridley
The Age of A.I. and Our Human Future | Eric Schmidt & Dan Huttenlocher
A Memoir of Illness, Discovery, & the Body Politic | Ross Douthat
Index Funds, ETFs, & the Passive Investing Revolution | Robin Wigglesworth
Andrew Yang on His Forward Party and the Rise of a New Political Consensus
Uncontrolled Spread: How COVID-19 Crushed Us & How to Fight the Next Pandemic | Scott Gottlieb
How Washington Works in the New Gilded Age | David Wessel
Wireless Wars: China’s Dangerous Domination of 5G | Jon Pelson
A Nihilist’s Guidebook for the Modern Investor | Demetri Kofinas
A.I. Future: Utopia or Apocalypse? Ten Visions For Our Future | Kai-Fu Lee
Lessons from the Soviet Union and the Flight to Safety | Simon Mikhailovich
Create your
podcast in
minutes
It is Free
The emPOWERed Half Hour
NABOR® TALKS
U.S Property Podcast
Aligned Money Show
The Ramsey Show
Planet Money