U.S. banks’ fourth-quarter 2023 earnings demonstrated continued pressure on funding costs and minimal slippage in credit quality. The Street largely took the results in stride, but management teams were hopeful that net interest margin pressure could subside in the second half of 2024 and credit quality would hold up in the face of a higher for longer rate environment, according to Gerard Cassidy, co-head of global financials research at RBC Capital Markets. In the episode, the veteran analyst said he shares that optimistic outlook and believes the current environment is more similar to 1995 when the U.S. economy digested sharp rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and likely will not result in a severe downturn like some investors fear. Cassidy believes bank stocks are a show me story but does see further catalysts on the horizon. The analyst also offered his outlook for bank M&A activity.
Ep. 87 - Fed could raise rates sooner, but 1970s-style inflation not on the table
Ep. 86 - TD Bank focused on growth in the US, open to deals
Ep. 85 - KBW CEO assesses threat from fintechs, sees legs in bank stocks, M&A
Ep. 84 - Pandemic pushes technology to the forefront for banks, insurers in 2022
Ep. 83 - Banks inking branch deals by coming to terms with multiple acquirers
Ep. 82 - Pickup in bank M&A could have domino effect
Ep. 81 - Amid strong recovery, Banc of California hearing more M&A chatter
Ep. 80 - Citizens Financial CEO discusses deal appetite, outlook for credit quality, loan growth
Ep. 79 - More attractive premiums for bank M&A targets coming
Ep. 78 - The case to grow deposits when the world is flush with cash
Ep. 77 - Excess liquidity, low rates leave banks between a rock and M&A
Ep. 76 - Record pace of fintech M&A, funding in Q1'21 has legs
Ep. 75 - As ESG gains currency, banks need long-term focus
Ep. 74 - Seeing legs in strong credit performance, US bank stock rally
Ep. 73 - Banks could see more regulation but playing field leveled with nonbanks
Ep. 72 - KBW CEO says desire to compete with megabanks driving more US regional bank M&A
Ep. 71 - Hotel sector faces tough sledding until full COVID-19 solution
Ep. 70 - Banks' liquidity conundrum could fuel M&A activity
Ep. 69 - Banks left with pockets full of cash and few places to go
Ep. 68 – As many investors zig away from bank stocks, 2 vets in the space zag toward them
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