Today, we welcome Katy Kaminiski back to the show as we reflect on her entry into the trend following space and what she has learned on her systematic journey. We also discuss different ways of allocating risk in portfolio construction and why Katy “loves skewness”, why preparing for pain can actually lead to better decisions as an investor and how changes in the global macro environment takes time to manifest in trends. Lastly, we discuss what we are both excited and nervous for in 2024.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:50 - What has been on our radar recently?
03:03 - When are trends coming to an end?
06:24 - Industry performance update
07:31 - How did Katy end up in the trend following industry?
11:19 - What attracted her to the industry?
12:40 - What Katy has learned from being an allocator
15:44 - Risk variations in portfolio construction
20:21 - What drives the biggest dispersion?
21:54 - Understanding risk in your portfolio
24:05 - Constant vol targeting - just a phase?
25:25 - The importance of skewness
31:06 - Mind the timeframe
34:57 - Preparing for pain ahead of time (MAN Paper)
38:15 - No pain, no gain...
43:28 - Economic trend (AQR Paper)
47:33 - Dealing with a world in disruption
50:48 - Excitement and worries about 2024
57:05 - What is up for next episode?
Resources discussed in this Episode:
Copyright © 2023 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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IL10: Chip War (FT's Best Business Book 2022) ft. Chris Miller
SI222: Trend Following vs Tail Hedging to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Rob Carver
GM30: The Era of Weather Volatility ft. Shawn Hackett
SI221: Will 2023 be another Trend Following Year? ft. Alan Dunne
ALO12: How to Invest like a Private Bank ft. Shannon Saccocia
SI220: Is It Too Late for Trend Following? ft. Mark Rzepczynski
GM29: What if the World isn't Ending? ft. Marko Papic
SI219: The Impact of Secular Inflation ft. Cem Karsan
GM28: Draught, Deflation, Default & Global Depression ft. Simon Hunt
SI218: Trend Following to the Rescue ft. Richard Brennan
TTU121: Trend Following... from Optional to Essential ft. Nick Baltas
SI217: Finding the Optimal Trend Following Allocation ft. Rob Carver
GM27: Central Banks were Warned about their Failed Policies ft. William White
SI216: A New Era for Trend Following? ft. Alan Dunne
GM26: Out with the FED Put & In with the OIL Put ft. Adam Rozencwajg
SI215: Trend Following vs Volatility to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Cem Karsan
IL09: The Money Revolution...Rethinking Economic Growth ft. Richard Duncan
SI214: Trend Following & CTA Replication ft. Andrew Beer
IL08: Why The Best Quitters Win ft. Annie Duke
SI213: Trend Following Records are being set in 2022? ft. Richard Brennan
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