My Worst Investment Ever Podcast
Business:Investing
BIO: Jeremy Deal manages the Survivor & Thriver Fund LP, a private investment partnership for high-net-worth families globally.
STORY: In 2012, Jeremy bought Tesla for about $2 a share and sold it eight months later for 50% more. He didn’t have a real differentiated insight to continue believing in Elon Musk’s ability to convince consumers to keep buying Teslas even though the product was of mediocre quality initially.
LEARNING: Use differentiated insight to evaluate an investment. When evaluating a company, see the bigger picture and look at it for what it is, not just how expensive or cheap it is.
“My mistake was not having any insight into the business other than why I think the OEM contracts made this business look relatively cheap.”Jeremy Deal
Guest profile
Jeremy Deal manages the Survivor & Thriver Fund LP, a private investment partnership for high-net-worth families globally. The fund makes multi-year investments in companies with substantial unrecognized earnings potential. Fund investment criteria are rooted in four basic tenets around business quality.
Worst investment everIn 2012, Jeremy bought Tesla for roughly what would be about $2 a share today and sold it eight months later for 50% more. Looking back, Jeremy sold what would today be worth around $100 million for less than a million dollars.
Jeremy didn’t understand how bad the competition was for Tesla at the time. He didn’t have a real differentiated insight to continue believing in Elon Musk’s ability to convince consumers to keep buying Teslas even though the product was mediocre to low quality initially and was falling apart.
Lessons learned“When you think about a business over multiple years, consider the intangibles. Think about the competitive advantage of the business and its ability to evolve. Think about the disruption risk in the business you’re competing with.”Jeremy Deal
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Connect with Jeremy Deal
David Kass – Don’t Invest in a Company Unless the CEO Owns a Large Stake
Christopher Panagiotu – Go With Your Gut, but Verify
ISMS 29: Larry Swedroe – The Shiny Apple is Poisonous and Information is Not Knowledge
ISMS 28: Stocks for the Long Run
Folarin Daniel Adeboye – Business and Friendship Can Never Mix
Dana Anspach – Loving a Product Is Different From Running a Business
ISMS 27: Larry Swedroe – Familiar Doesn’t Make It Safe and You’re Not Playing With the House’s Money
Manisha Thakor – Invest in Your Financial Health and Emotional Wealth
Richard Smith – Anything Valuable Is Hard
David Perry – Bet on the Person, Not the Idea
Tom Wall – If You Make Some Money, at Least Take Half off the Table
Rick Warner – Be Careful When Investing in Banks
Mohit Tater – You Don’t Know What You’re Getting Into Until You Are in It
Vorathep Srikuruwal – Walk That Property Before You Buy It
Phil Bak – Be Slow to Jump Onto Bandwagons
Jack Schwager – Never Stay in a Position That Violates What You Believe In
Sampark Sachdeva – Don’t Be Afraid to Take the Plunge
ISMS 26: Larry Swedroe – Are You Subject to the Endowment Effect or the Hot Streak Fallacy?
Vishal Bhardwaj – Do Not Let Emotions Run Your Business for You
Harjeet Khanduja – Work Smarter Not Harder
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