It's hard to imagine, but 51 weeks ago we launched Global Guessing with our inaugural forecast on the 2020 Burkina Faso Presidential Election. In the time since, we've released 43 podcast episodes, 34 forecasts, and a new newsletter.
In today's final (??) episode of the Weekly Podcast, we wanted to go over this incredible past year–discussing why we started this project, recount the content we've produced, highlight our favorite moments, and discuss how our thoughts about quantified forecasting and the content we produced evolved since that Burkinabe forecast.
While this may be the final GGWP for a while, we're not going anywhere! At the end of this episode, we'll share with you our exciting plans for 2022 and beyond with respect to forecasts and podcasts.
Thank you so much for being with us for the last year and the support you have shown. We hope you enjoy the show!
War in Donbass, Peru 2021, and BIN Model of Forecasting (GGWP 10)
✅ How David Manheim Forecasted COVID Vaccines
Pavel Atanasov on Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, Machine Forecasting (GGWP 8)
Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov of Pytho on Human Forest Forecasting Competition Results (GGWP 7)
Saar Wilf on What is Rootclaim, Syrian Chemical Attacks, COVID Origins, Bzigo (GGWP 6)
US-China Summit, New Forecasting and Geopolitics Books, North Korea Tensions (GGWP 5)
Israeli-Saudi Relations After Khashoggi, Korea ICBM Test in 2021, Road to Superforecasting (GGWP 2)
Ross of ARGS of Future of Statehood, Geopolitics of the Arctic, Hybrid Warfare (GGWP4)
Metaculus Scoring Controversy, Future of US-China Competition, Rootclaim Intrigue (GGWP 3)
Dr. Balkan Devlen on Theory in Forecasting, Incentives, Prediction Retrospectives (GGWP 1)
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