The past six months have been golden for investors, with everything from equities to gold and even Bitcoin enjoying stellar runs. And if risk assets are not your bag, then there have been juicy yields on offer across a range of cash and fixed-income asset classes.
Animal spirits woke from their slumber in late October 2023 when the Fed effectively claimed victory in the fight against inflation. Markets have been led to believe that rate cuts are a forgone conclusion in the year ahead, and participants have been piling into risk assets accordingly.
Christopher Joye, portfolio manager and chief investment officer at Coolabah Capital Investments, says that markets have become so complacent that they appear to be completely ignoring a growing set of data suggesting that the path forward might not be smooth.
Most notably, the resurgent inflation data coming out of the US is causing interest rate cut expectations to be dialled back and kicked down the road. When asked what he thought investors were getting wrong about markets today, Joye was quick to call the dichotomy between what the economy is suggesting needs to happen with interest rates and market expectations.
“If this strong data keeps coming through then hold onto your hats because the world is not priced for this risk. Make no mistake, there is no margin for error in listed equities. There is no margin for error in venture capital, private equity, zero in crypto, in commercial real estate, nothing,” Joye argued.
Tune in to the latest episode of the Rules of Investing, where Livewire’s James Marlay ask Joye about his views on the outlook for both the US and Australian economies, the three risks he is watching and where he sees value in Australian residential real estate.
Uranium Special - The fundies‘ view (part 3)
Uranium Special - Where are we going? (part 2)
Uranium Special - How did we get here? (part 1)
The complete guide to LICs
A hated sector that Ben Graham would love
John Sevior’s simple principles for investment success
Value, growth... Why not both? An interview with Alex Waislitz.
How Harley Grosser turned $100k into $800k in 4 years
How to avoid portfolio bombs
Peter Morgan: The best asset I've ever bought
How to lower your risk and maximise returns
The big picture view on Aussie equities
The ‘special’ stocks Emma Fisher is hitching the Airlie wagon to
Grantham: This is a bubble, this is serious
Preview: Exclusive interview with Jeremy Grantham
Making money from unloved and out-of-favour stocks
Winning the vaccine trade - where to next?
Inside Morgan Stanley’s bullish bet on the recovery
An inflection point for Aussie shares
The biggest question facing investors today
Create your
podcast in
minutes
It is Free
The emPOWERed Half Hour
U.S Property Podcast
Aligned Money Show
Dubai Property Podcast
The Ramsey Show
The Clark Howard Podcast