Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
Okay, buckle up because the Inflation Guy here is going to cover some big-time concepts. Wayyyy back in 2003, some guys named Jarrow and Yildirim explained how inflation acts just like foreign exchange, except not foreign and not on an exchange. No, no, stay with me here. Turns out they were right, and a lot of what is happening today - and the mistakes in interpretation that are being made - can be understood if you understand that the 'inflation FX market' has just changed in important ways. This is an important episode!
NOTES
Jarrow R, Yildirim Y (2003) Pricing treasury inflation protected securities and related derivatives using an HJM model. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 38(2):337–359. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=585828
Unidad de Fomento (Wikipedia entry): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unidad_de_Fomento
Chart: Nominal and inflation-adjusted Case-Shiller 10-City index, normalized to end of 2019
Chart: Nominal and Real S&P 500 Earnings, normalized to end of 2019
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Ep. 52: State of Inflation Address
Ep. 51: Should You Care About the CPI Re-weighting?
Ep. 50: What the Money Velocity Comeback Means for Inflation, and Investors
Ep. 49: Do Inflation Expectations Affect Inflation?
Ep. 48: This Month’s CPI Report - It’s Not Easy Being ’Mean’
Ep. 47: New Year’s Resolutions
Ep. 46: This Month’s CPI Report - Why Does Christmas Come But Once a Year?
Ep. 45: Is Crypto a Hedge Against Inflation?
Ep. 44: Mailbag!
Ep. 43: This Month’s CPI Report: Health Care Gives Me A Headache
Ep. 42: Potpourri
Ep. 41: This Month’s CPI Report - Evidently, We Are NOT There Yet
Ep. 40: Return to the Teeter-Totter - Comments on the Price System
Ep. 39: This Month’s CPI Report - Are We There Yet?
Ep. 38: Is Tuition Forgiveness Inflationary?
Ep. 37: Bad Idea of the Year - Wage and Price Controls
Ep. 36: This Month’s CPI Report - A Sticky Situation
Ep. 35: Will the Inflation Reduction Act Reduce Inflation?
Ep. 34: Velocity Turns Higher...Whoops!
Ep. 33: This Month’s CPI Report - Not Good
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