David Osman of IRF is joined by Ron William, the Founder of RW Advisory.
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Ron William is a market strategist with over 20 years of experience producing macro research and trading strategies for leading economic research & institutional firms. He specialises in blended, top-down, semi-discretionary analysis, driven by cycles and by his proprietary timing models, which use both quantitative and qualitative techniques.
In this podcast Ron explains why the trade-weighted dollar index (DXY) is likely to depreciate and assesses the outlook for the US currency against the euro, sterling and the Japanese yen. He then discusses the prospects for the government bond markets in the US and UK with reference to the recent trends in 10-year yields and the economic outlook.
With respect to the US stock market, Ron identifies the factors that have caused the US S&P 500 Index to become extremely overbought and discusses the potential for this to continue or unwind in 2024. He points out that the UK FTSE 100 Index is close to the middle of the 7,000 – 8,000 trading range that has been established for several years, however he foresees downside risks that could provide a healthy correction. Ron also discusses the reasons behind the very strong performance of the Japanese stock market and foresees the major uptrend in the Nikkei 225 Index continuing and eventually reaching a new all-time-high above the psychologically important 40,000 level. In conclusion, he discusses the performance of various commodities and highlights the bullish outlook for gold.
RW Advisory specialises in blended, top-down, semi-discretionary analysis, driven by cycles and proprietary timing models, which use both quantitative and qualitative techniques. Ron William is also a behavioural finance expert, trading psychologist and performance coach. He uses the latest techniques in behavioural/risk assessment modelling, peak-performance, neuro/body science and stress response management, including mindfulness and coherence training, supported by his market strategies.
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"Is the Game up for the UK Economy?" Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
"Top Trades Around the World in 2021" Damanick Dantes, Dantes Outlook
"The Outlook for Commodity Prices in 2021" Kathleen Kelley, Queen Anne's Gate Capital
"Do Markets Face a Potential 'Minsky' Moment Collapse?" Ron William, RW Advisory
"Biden, Brexit and the Pandemic in 2021 & 2022" Helen Thomas, Blonde Money
IRF Update 2021 Q1
"Video Gaming Sector: Highlights of 2020 and Thoughts on 2021" Eric Kress, Gossamer Consulting Group
"If There is a Year to Be Long Risk, it is 2021!" Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, Dwor-Frecaut Macro
"US Politics and Economics in 2021: The Establishment Strikes Back" Brian Pellegrini, Intertemporal Economics
"The Big Liquidity Story" Michael Howell, CrossBorder Capital
"China's Development Plans for 2021-2035" Charles Hess, Inferential Focus
"How ESG Investing Can Consistently Generate Alpha" François Boutin-Dufresne, Sustainable Market Strategies
"The Existential Threat Facing the European Union in 2021 and 2022" Brunello Rosa, Rosa & Roubini Associates
"The Outlook for Inflation: The Impact of Regime Change" Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
"The US Economy: Advancing without Effective Monetary or Fiscal Policy" David Ranson, HCWE
"The Five Phases of Empire" David Murrin, Global Forecaster
"China's Plan for the Next 5 Years" William Hess, PRC Macro
"The Outlook from Washington - Biden or Trump? The Policy Implications" James Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners
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