What's up! It's episode 102 of Payne Points of Wealth and tech is dead! Our prophecy has come true. We've warned you about tech for a long time. Meanwhile, markets are rallying hard here and the economy is actually growing despite what all those economists have been telling you. Is this just a big fake-out? Is this a bear market rally? Are we going into a big recession next year? We're going to give you our 2¢ on that today. We're going to tell you exactly how to play all the market moves and how to look at the economy right now correctly. We're also going to talk about financial planning, physical training, and what they have in common. We've got a great show. Check it out!
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...If you look at the S&P 500, it accounts for something like 25% but the entire weighting is only in six or seven stocks. That's the problem, the S&P is so grossly overweight in tech that you're not benefiting from this rally. What blew our minds looking at the numbers this past week is that old-school boring value stocks like JP Morgan, Coca-Cola, and Pepsi are only down 5%, but tech growth stocks are down 30%. That's a 25% spread!
This tells you that right now it's not about being in or out of the market, it's about having the right portfolio. If you're diversified you're not down that much this year and that's the whole point. You have to spread your risk out. The overall market is telling us that some parts of the economy aren't doing great like tech, but some parts of the economy are doing really, really well. It's like we are experiencing rolling recessions, not an all-or-none proposition.
This week on the tipping point: Financial Fitness TrainersThere are a lot of principles that we can apply from the fitness world to your retirement or financial independence plan. What we've learned in our boutique firm, Payne Capital Management, is that our role as financial advisors is a lot like being a personal financial trainer.
The similarities are remarkable. You definitely work out better when you have a personal trainer. You get in shape faster and you have less injury because they get you to focus on every part of your body. They don't limit you to what you would limit yourself to. That's what happens when you're investing. "Well, I'm not gonna invest in that area because I lost money there once." or "I'm a brave investor, I'm going to roll the dice and go a hundred percent in crypto or the arc fund." You make a lot of mistakes because you don't know what you don't know.
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Has AI Replaced Wall Street’s Common Sense?
The perfect marriage of Risk Taking & Caution with our guest Carrie Kerpen
Who would have guessed the French stock market was going to be number one this year?
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The Market Goes Up 📈 with Ed Yardeni
Entrepreneurial Skill Does Not Equal Investment Skill
Did the Fed just give banks carte blanche to mismanage your money?
Is the SVB collapse the beginning of something bigger?
Trust, but diversify.
Last year’s decline was really about wringing out excess speculation.
Is the Bond Market Playing Chicken With The Fed?
Should investors be following the George Costanza strategy?
Don’t fight the Fed? Or, don’t trust the Fed.
2022 was a stinker, but 2023 might be a winner. Ep #108
Your EGO is Destroying Your Financial Independence!? Ep #107
Don’t Invest In The Market You Want, Invest In The Market You Have, Ep #106
The Market Is Smarter Than Everybody!, Ep #105
If You Want To Be Wealthy You’ve Got To Be Patient, Ep #103
The Dirty Secret Of The Financial Industry, Ep #101
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