Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager of Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi Ann Cheng, a portfolio management director. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets.
In this episode we will: debate whether the RBA is going to blow the housing bubble back up with interest rate cuts; discuss new RBA research that blames the central bank for the rapid house price growth between 2012-2017 (contrary to what the governors have claimed); present Coolabah's pioneering quant research exploring whether you can use ESG filters to increase alpha and reduce beta in equities and bonds (you can download the paper here); examine what has driven the massive recent reduction in bank funding costs and the bid for the major banks' senior bonds; explain the game-changer that is the Fed's new inflation averaging regime, which has huge consequences for asset prices; and dissect the explosion in listed investment companies that fund managers are using to pay over $150 million in conflicted sales commissions to raise money from mums and dads for complex products that would never be allowed under the standard FOFA laws.
This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. Whilst we believe that the information discussed in the podcast is correct, no warranty or representation is given to this effect, and listeners should not rely on this information when making any decisions. No responsibility can be accepted by CCII to any end users for any action taken on the basis of this information. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken without first seeking qualified and professional advice. CCII may have a financial interest in any assets discussed during the podcast. Listeners in Australia are encouraged to visit ASIC's MoneySmart website to obtain information regarding financial advice and investments.
Episode 30: How March 2022 officially became the worst month in history for the Aussie bond market.
Episode 29: Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?
Episode 28: Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market
Episode 27: House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance
Episode 26: Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3
Episode 25: Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems...
Episode 24: Forecasting the Aussie Housing Boom
Episode 23: Housing Affordability Non-Crisis; Bond Market Rebound; March Performance; Bank Liquidity Issues; RBA’s QE3 Program; Credit Markets; & Budget Deficits
Episode 22: The Bond Market Bloodbath; February Returns; RBA QE 3.0 and 4.0; & How the RBA’s Governor Phil Lowe Brutally Blew-Up the Bond Bandits…
Episode 21: January Returns; RBA QE 1.0, 2.0, 3,0 and 4.0; WWIII; House Bubble Non-Issue; and the Reddit Rambo’s Retail Revolution
Episode 20: 2020 in Review; Outlook for 2021; Housing Forecasts; Big Left and Right Tail Risks & More
Episode 19: Traders vs Investors; Why Markets are Ignoring Second Waves; Central Banks Disintermediating Markets; Performance; and Turning Beta into Alpha
Episode 18: The Next Big Pivot Point for Markets – COVID-19 Vaccines; June Performance; Liquidity in Bond Markets; NAB’s Landmark Unlisted Hybrid Deal; And More
Episode 17: Mean-Reversion; Don’t Fight the Fed; Aussie Housing; Best Investment Opportunities; Cold War 2.0
Episode 16: Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Episode 15: Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
Episode 14: 2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah's Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of the World's Biggest HF Managers
Episode 13: Bond Market Returns in 2019; Welcoming Pinnacle to our Family; Human Frailties of the World's Greatest Investor; RBA vs the Govt over Fiscal Policy and More...
Episode 12: Competition Facing the Big Banks; Is High Yield Debt Just Equities in Disguise; Aussie Housing; RBA Rate Cuts & QE; Looking Into Next Year
Episode 11: Keen vs Joye; Is Capitalism Dead; CBA's New Hybrid Deal; Hybrids vs Foreign High Yield; the Coming of Aussie QE and Much More
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