When markets crash sharply, as they did earlier this year, it can be a mistake to assume that as soon as the falls peter out, the market will then naturally recover.
Sure, this sometimes happens. The crash of 87, the global financial crisis, and COVID are all examples where the market went into freefall fall once, more or less, before recovering.
But here's the thing. Just because the market has sold off and since recovered some, that's no guarantee the market is in recovery mode. Markets, sectors and individual stocks can go down, stabilise, then go down again.
While picking the bottom might be a mug's game, you're not going to go into high gear and invest if you think there's further broad based losses on the way.
This is where today's guest comes in. Dr Philipp Hofflin, Portfolio Manager at Lazard Asset Management, is an expert in market bubbles and what happens after them. And it's not as cut and dry as you might think.
In this episode, Phil discusses:
Abnormal returns
Skamvougeras: Forgotten opportunities
Watling: Australian recession is still my base case
Steve Johnson: The search for extreme dislocations
Aitken: Trade wars present ‘tremendous opportunity’
Ben Griffiths: Markets are at an inflection point
Finding the next Macquarie Bank
Dr Philipp Hofflin: Beware of the widest moats
Tim Toohey's macro masterclass
A century of dividends
Platinum and Magellan: Inside the minds of Australia’s most successful global investors
The hottest investment theme on Earth
Investing in Global Disruption with Jeff Cole
Padley: The problem with buy and hold
Cooper reviews the Cooper Review
Platinum: The opportunity of a generation
Chris Stott: One last call
Fresh ideas from Future Generation
The value in being contrarian
Matthew Kidman: Uncut
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