Value investing is all about buying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value.
In practical terms, that often involves investing in companies and sectors that have been shunned by the market due to particular macro headwinds.
"It should be no surprise as to where the pockets of opportunity are," says Tim Carleton, Auscap Asset Management CIO and today's guest on the Rules of Investing.
"They're in the more cyclical sectors that people are most concerned about from an earnings perspective."
In today's interview with Livewire's David Thornton, Tim runs through two retail stocks in the Auscap Long Short Australian Equities Fund that fit this profile. I won't give them away, but one is the only stock on the ASX with a return on equity above 50%, while the other is a long-term compounder poised to take market share.
He also discusses why he's avoided the tech and energy sectors, what he expects from earnings season, why he doesn't put much weight in earnings beats and misses, and why lithium is a crowded trade (yet remains invested in it).
Note: This episode was recorded on July 26, 2023.
Timestamps
0:00 - START
1:30 - Have we avoided a hard landing?
3:30 - Australian base case
4:30 - Reporting season
10:00 - Stock prices follow earnings
12:30 - A checklist for finding value
14:20 - Consumer discretionary in 2023
17:55 - Two COVID beneficiaries primed for growth
20:50 - Avoiding tech and energy
23:00 - Lithium is crowded, but does that matter?
29:20 - Look past the market's time horizon
44:00 - Bottom drawer retail stock
How to buy growth companies before they get expensive
Aboud: What I'd buy in a market crash
Finding income in a low-rate world
The theme to dominate this decade in markets
How an everyday investor competes with the pros
Two consumer stocks making it big overseas
50th episode special with Hamish Douglass
Nailing your asset allocation
How to pick stocks like a pro
Investing: A how to guide (Part 1)
Tagliaferro: How the '87 crash shaped my philosophy
Catherine Allfrey: Look over the horizon
The developed world is on the brink of crisis
The importance of saying "no"
Value, growth. Why don't we have both?
How to pick growth stocks that will keep on winning
Montgomery: The economics of enough
The five pillars of a quality stock
The hunt for predictable cash flows
Abnormal returns
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