Hey, what's up! Welcome to episode 79 of Payne Points of Wealth! Markets are going crazy! They’re going up, they're going down, they're going sideways! There has been a lot of volatility going nowhere fast as interest rates continue to climb higher. On top of that, we've got two-thirds of economists talking about a potential recession. We're going to tell you what we think about a recession and what we think the economy is going to do over the next 12 months. On the Tipping Point, we'll talk about investing with your emotions. Are your emotions are holding you back from making good investment decisions? Listen now to hear our advice on how to fix that!
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
One thing we see lacking more than anything else when we look at portfolios right now is that most of them don't have what we would call a pro-inflation portfolio. There aren't enough inflation hedges in the portfolio. There are too many assets that are reliant on low-interest rates and low inflation. We're probably not going back to less than 2% inflation like we saw the last decade and interest rates aren't going back to under 1% anytime soon. It's like just not happening.
A lot of investors still want to hold onto what did well in the last 10 years. They're still on that growth trade. They still want to own all those large mega-cap stocks like Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Apple. Those stocks could go up, it's possible, but if we learned any lesson from the great tech bubble back in the late 90s’-00s’ it’s that a lot of these big companies like Microsoft can have a whole decade where the revenue continues to go up, the company does well, but the stock does nothing. That's one of the risks you have with a lot of these hot names. It's not that they get crushed. It's just that they don't do anything.
This week on the tipping point: Bad emotional decisionsThere are two huge emotions in investing. Fear and greed! Any decision made on either one of them has always historically been wrong. When it comes to making decisions about investments, it's extremely emotional.
A lot of times when you make decisions, you think you're being logical but you're actually being emotional. When you act emotionally you end up making bad decisions about how to allocate your capital. So in this episode, we talk about some of the bad emotional decisions we can make and how to protect ourselves from...well...ourselves. Removing emotion will help you make good, pragmatic, long-term decisions to create wealth over time and reach financial independence. Go listen now to see if maybe you are allowing emotions to damage your portfolio, and what to do if you are!
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2020 Lessons That May Keep Your 2021 Asset Allocation From Getting Out Of Whack, Ep 20
Rotation, Rotation, Rotation!, Ep 19
From Fear of Losing Money to Fear of Missing Out, Ep 18
A Portfolio With Deeper Breadth, Ep 17
If it’s in the Press, it’s in the Price, Ep 16
The Mother of All Stock Rotations, Ep 15
What are you doing with your money that can get in the way of good investing?, Ep 14
Trading One Uncertainty for Another, Ep 13
Market Change is No Respecter of Election Results— It’s Coming Regardless, Ep 12
Market Irony and Where You Don’t Want to be When the Melt Up Happens, Ep 11
Projecting a Market Future Based on Personal Experience, Ep 10
If You're Sitting in Cash Your Biggest Risk is the Cost of Opportunity, Ep 09
Uncertainty Continues With Talk Of An Economic Stall And An Impending Second Wave, Ep #08
Volatility & Uncertainty are your friends… dressed in a mask trying to scare you to death, Ep 07
Zero-commission Trading Platforms...Stock Market or Casino of the Pandemic?, Ep 06
Is Tech On The Way Down Or Is This Just A Correction? Ep #5
Mind-Numbing Tech Numbers And Why The Stock Market Is Always A Winner, Ep #4
Does Financial History Repeat Itself? Maybe. Ep #3
The Market Disconnect, Retirement Myths, Taxes and More Taxes, Ep #2
Big Tech Going Through The Roof, The Dollar Falling, and a Rising Market, Ep #1
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