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雪球·财经有深度

雪球·财经有深度

Business:Investing

2509.要清楚普通投资人的护城河

2509.要清楚普通投资人的护城河

2024-05-19
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欢迎收听雪球和喜马拉雅联合出品的财经有深度,雪球,国内领先的集投资交流交易一体的综合财富管理平台,聪明的投资者都在这里。今天分享的内容叫要清楚普通投资人的护城河,来自厚恩投资张延昆。

1、关注企业生命力:为未来现金流买单

我觉得减少关注那些瞄着净资产估值的企业,因为往往这些企业处在一个无法长期持续满意成长的好赛道里。为什么要瞄着那些靠净资产来估值的企业呢,本身企业是一台印钞机,是哪怕就是一个老母鸡,他也不能按照其重量来说明企其生蛋的能力。

买股票就是买企业,你买的是企业未来的生命力,而不是买了企业的净资产。对于资产的估值有很奇妙之处,如果资产不能产生利润,未来只能不断的折损。所以,我建议要远离那些瞄准资产估值的企业。还是要贴近那些未来能够产生源源不断现金流的企业,尤其我们身边耳熟能详的具有品牌效应的企业。

去找能够真正运转起来的印钞机,不要去到废品站收购那些折旧的已经接近报废的看起来估值很低的旧机器。

2、要学会展望未来:洞察成长

如果你持有股票在10年,20年里,翻几十倍或上百倍,那你就是天选之子。

为什么这么说呢?因为你在有野心和毅力之外,还能洞察企业成长发展的细节,清晰梳理企业发展的逻辑。当然了,除此之外你还有一直抹不去的运气。

来到了股票市场,我们都想当这个天选之子,但注定这是极少数人的事。因为大多数人都不肯在正确的方向上进行枯燥的重复,也不肯在投资理念上进行孜孜不倦的修炼!

3、要学会升华:简化集中持股

我做股票投资已经二十七年了。回忆过去,当看见我账户市值都不断向上奔跑时候,能记起来的最重要的股票其实不超过五个,最好的也就两个却贡献了自己百分之八十多的利润,并且是持有时间最长的两个。而且,持续持有的话,到现在收获利润会更大一些。

芒格曾回忆说,总结他们这一生来折腾过的股票,90%的操作都是多余的。三两个好公司,拿一辈子就够了,什么都不用做。做多了都是多余,而且还不讨喜。

于是,我五十岁以后,决定就这么做了,选择能安静持有后半生的或能传承下一代的股票,尽力持有。

普通人和成功人士他的主要差距就是对任何挑战或者可以成功的事情,他们都有两个“不”:一个是不敢开始,一个是不愿坚持。

4、学会坚持:敢于迎接挑战

他们不相信自己能成功,不敢开始是懒于学习懒于尝试,非常怕输所以不敢开始;

不愿坚持是因为过程太枯燥,失败太残忍,所以,开始做了也会中途放弃,不愿继续坚持。

看清了这一点,我们就知道如何能把投资做好:你要勇于开始,开始学习开始尝试开始拜名师开始迎接挑战开始迎接失败,然后不断积累经验,历练自己的意志品质,继续坚持,把一路上的风险和困难都考虑全面,把自己的这个方向和逻辑想清楚想好,相信坚持到底最终迎接你的就是辉煌的成功!

所以,赶紧开始做和能坚持到底,就是我们普通投资人的护城河



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