Ep. 79: Seasonal Adjustment and Inflation

The inflation derivatives market is currently suggesting that prices will decline in the US between August (the report we get in a couple of weeks) and December. Does this mean that inflation is upon us? No, and the reason why is something called 'seasonal adjustment.'

It turns out that seasonal adjustment is critically important for inflation markets, and the market's pricing is not nearly as outlandish as it looks. In this podcast, the Inflation Guy explains in plain English what seasonal adjustment is, and what it means in this case.

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