Keith Fitz-Gerald, principal of the Fitz-Gerald Group, shares his macro view of the world and the five big picture lenses through which he sees the world.
He believes that investing in optimism and knowing where the world is going is better than trying to be right at specific moments in time. He emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies that have great demand for their products and services and can change consumer behavior. Keith also discusses the role of the Fed and the importance of investing in optimism rather than trying to second-guess the unpredictable actions of the Fed.
Link: https://www.keithfitz-gerald.com/
00:00 Introduction and welcome Keith to the show
0:53 Simple is better
1:50 The five Ds
2:50 Does the Fed matter?
5:30 The AI Opportunity and Changing the World
8:22 Keith Fitz-Gerald’s S&P 4750 target in 2023
10:50 Buying right now — chaos creates opportunity
13:00 History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes
14:00 Geopolitics and markets
15:55 When in doubt, zoom out
17:13 Portfolio construction
19:03 Took out S&P 500 price target, 5500-5600 may be next stop
20:20 The Fed needs to stay on sidelines
22:40 Are markets healthy?
26:00 Outlook for the U.S.
26:50 Gold
29:20 Parting thoughts
#111 David Hay: The Odds Of A Recession Are Going Up, Not Down, With Each Passing Day
#110 Marc Chandler: The Dollar's Rally Is, If It's Not Over Yet, It's Nearly Over
#109 Danielle DiMartino Booth: 'It’s Clear That The U.S. Economy Is In A Recession If It Wasn't For Everything That Uncle Sam Is Either Spending Or Fudging'
#108 Chris Whalen On The ‘Silent Crisis’ — The Looming Commercial-Led Recession
#107 Claudia Sahm: The Economy Is At An Inflection Point
#106 Harald Malmgren & Nicholas Glinsman: The U.S. Treasury Market Is The ‘Ultimate Wrecking Ball’
#105 Sam Burns: The Economy Isn't Headed For Recession Any Time Soon
#104 Christopher Zook On Stagflation, Energy, And A 'Generational Opportunity' In Commercial Real Estate
#103 Matt Higgins: The Only Way Out Is A Reckoning
#102 Masha Bucher On The State Of Venture Capital, Investing In AI, And How To Navigate Today's Market
#101 Larry McDonald: The Probability Of Sustained Stagflation Is Rising
#100 Bill Ackman On Activist Investing, The Economy, And Learning From Mistakes
#099 Peter Cecchini: 3 Reasons Why We're Headed Toward Recession
#098 Rick Rule: 'Potent And Very Ugly Cocktail' In A Rising Interest Rate Environment
#097 Peter Borish: My Concern Is More Than A Recession
#096 Michael Howell: It's Bonds, Not Banks, That Look Dangerous
#095 Carol Roth: You Will Own Nothing
#094 Todd Gordon: Why We're Not Headed Toward Recession
#093 Neil Howe: The Fourth Turning Is Here — How Will This Crisis End
#092 Milton Berg On Why There’s Strong Evidence The Market Won’t Do Well
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