Steve H. Hanke (@Steve_Hanke), professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University and the founder and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise, joins Julia La Roche on episode 81 for a wide-ranging conversation on the economy.
Two years ago, using the quantity theory of money — which links asset prices, economic activity and inflation to changes in the money supply—Professor Hanke accurately predicted that inflation would be persistent and rise to the highest levels in a generation between 6 to 9%. Inflation topped out at 9.1%. Hanke thinks the inflation story is over, and a recession is likely on the way.
Read “Did Lockdowns Work?” Here: https://iea.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Perspectives-_1_Did-lockdowns-work__June_web.pdf
The Hanke-Cofnas Gold Sentiment Score: https://thegoldsentimentreport.com/
0:00 Open
0:47 Money supply drives the economy
3:00 Inflation story is basically over
4:49 Economic picture around the world
5:25 Inflation is a local problem
7:02 The Fed has been a complete disaster
12:13 One-to-one linkage in change in money supply and inflation
13:00 Path to becoming a Monetarist
15:00 Why doesn’t the Fed pay attention to the quantity theory of money
18:24 Recession
20:47 Preparing for a recession
22:18 Long-term bullish on gold
27:29 Covid lockdowns biggest policy mistake in modern times
#077 Harold Bradley On The Danger ETFs Pose To The Stock Market
#076 Herb Greenberg On The 'Golden Era' Of Business Journalism
#075 Mike Maloney Sees An Economic Storm ‘Far Larger Than 2008’ Coming
#074 Bob Elliott: The Regional Banking Crisis Is A Policy Problem
#073 Chris Whalen On First Republic Collapse And Why More Banks Will Fail
#072 Christopher Zook: A Recession Is Coming And It’s Going to Be Deeper and Longer Than People Think
#071 ‘The Patriot Economy’: Omeed Malik On The Rise Of A New Economy In Response To ESG
#070 Axel Merk On Why Banks Are 'The Big Elephant In The Room'
#069 Joseph Wang On Why A Decade Of Persistently High Inflation Is Ahead
#068 Ray Dalio On Where We Are In The Changing World Order
#067 Jeff Snider: Markets Are 'Screaming Bloody Murder' And Are Hedged For A 2008-Style Scenario
#066 Bethany McLean On The Rise Of Legal Fraud
#065 Mark Yusko: We Are On The Precipice Of The Global Financial Crisis II
#064 DoubleLine's Ken Shinoda On Macro, Housing, And The Opportunities In MBS
#063 Jonathan Boyar On Finding Value During Uncertain Times
#062 Jim Rickards: ‘Are You Kidding Me? This Is The Biggest Bailout In History’
#061 Willem Middelkoop On SVB Collapse, The Big Reset, And The Financial Endgame
#060 Tom Lee On Why Stocks Are Already In A New Uptrend
#059 Larry McDonald: We've Permanently Come Into A New Higher Interest Rate Regime And Trillions Are Currently Misallocated
#058 'Lunatic Farmer' Joel Salatin On The Only System That Can Ultimately Feed The World
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