Steve H. Hanke (@Steve_Hanke), professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University and the founder and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise, joins Julia La Roche on episode 81 for a wide-ranging conversation on the economy.
Two years ago, using the quantity theory of money — which links asset prices, economic activity and inflation to changes in the money supply—Professor Hanke accurately predicted that inflation would be persistent and rise to the highest levels in a generation between 6 to 9%. Inflation topped out at 9.1%. Hanke thinks the inflation story is over, and a recession is likely on the way.
Read “Did Lockdowns Work?” Here: https://iea.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Perspectives-_1_Did-lockdowns-work__June_web.pdf
The Hanke-Cofnas Gold Sentiment Score: https://thegoldsentimentreport.com/
0:00 Open
0:47 Money supply drives the economy
3:00 Inflation story is basically over
4:49 Economic picture around the world
5:25 Inflation is a local problem
7:02 The Fed has been a complete disaster
12:13 One-to-one linkage in change in money supply and inflation
13:00 Path to becoming a Monetarist
15:00 Why doesn’t the Fed pay attention to the quantity theory of money
18:24 Recession
20:47 Preparing for a recession
22:18 Long-term bullish on gold
27:29 Covid lockdowns biggest policy mistake in modern times
#017 Jim Rogers: The Next Bear Market Will Be 'The Worst In My Lifetime'
#016 Marc Benioff On The New Era For Business
#015 Activist Short-Seller Dan David On 'The China Hustle' And Uncovering Frauds
#014 Nik Bhatia On The Coexistence Of The Dollar And Bitcoin
#013 Epsilon Theory's Ben Hunt On The Narratives Everywhere
#012 Jim Bianco: This Is The New Normal. Get Used To It.
#011 Anthony Scaramucci On Failure, Bitcoin, and Trump
#010 Kyle Bass On Energy, China, Inflation, And More
#009 CrowdStrike's Adam Meyers On The Biggest Cyber Threats
#008 Alan Patricof on 50 years of investing, Burning Man and the NYC Marathon at 87, and living to 114
#007 Ryan Williams On Unlocking Access To Commercial Real Estate Investing
#006 Greg Lukianoff on Free Speech and 'Free Speech Culture'
#005 Hugh Hendry on Why We’re Already in the 4th Depression
#004 Former Assistant Treasury Secretary Gerry Parsky on Lessons from the 70s and Parallels to Now
#003 David Cote on Winning Now, Winning Later
#002 Bill Browder on Surviving Putin's Wrath
#001 Morgan Housel on The Psychology of Money
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