Retire Smarter with Kevin Kroskey, CFP® & Tyler Emrick, CFA® CFP®
Business:Investing
Interesting parallels can be seen in modeling retirement projections and the Coronavirus pandemic. Small changes to inputs -- such as the rate of return or infection spread rates -- can have magnified effects on outputs -- such as ending wealth or total infections (and ultimately deaths), given similar exponential growth traits.
What is important to understand in both are the concepts of risk and uncertainty. Risk can be modeled. Uncertainty cannot yet must be planned for. Misunderstand either and things can quickly go wrong.
Hear Kevin discuss these two critical concepts. He also gives his opinion on why Ohio Governor Mike Dewine was prudent in the aggressive economic shut down in face of Coronavirus uncertainty. However, Ohio, and the U.S. at large, now need to transition back to economic functioning in light of Coronavirus risks being better understood, significantly less than what was initially believed, and to avoid second-order effects becoming more severe than those from the virus itself.
Timestamps:
3:45 - How Risk And Uncertainty Affect Investing
14:37 - What Is Non-Linear Modeling?
17:32 - An Example Of Non-Linear Modeling
21:33 - The Math And Science Of The Coronavirus
35:09 - Known Unknowns
Ep 89: What Retirees Want: Work In Retirement?
Ep 88: What Retirees Want: An Overview
Ep 87: How Pre-65 Retirees Can Get a Huge Healthcare Tax Credit
Ep 86: Cash Flow - Measuring & Monitoring the Heartbeat of Your Financial Planning
Ep 85: What’s a “Conservative” Investor To Do These Days?
Ep 84: Investment Allocation Update - Thinking About Your Investment Recipe
Ep 83: Biden‘s ”American Families” Tax Plan - Key Changes & Planning Opportunities
Ep 82: Social Security Update - Solvency, COLA, & Planning Strategies
Ep 81: Math Mistakes in the Media, Investing, and in Understanding Vaccines
Ep 80: Should I Sell a Stock With a Large Taxable Gain?
Ep 79: Aligning Your Investments With Your Values
Ep 78: Unexpected Benefits Married Couples Get From A Financial Advisor
Ep 77: How Risky of an Investor Are You? (And How Do You Really Know?)
Ep 76: Your Hierarchy of Retirement Needs
Ep 75: 10-Year Return Expectations
Ep 74: Modeling Real Estate & Business Values In Your Retirement Plan
Ep 73: What Age Should You Get Serious About Planning For Retirement?
Ep 72: How Your Retirement Spending Is Likely To Change With Age
Ep 71: Inflation Expectations & Implications On Your Investments & Retirement
Ep 70: Free Money? More Stimulus Checks & Larger Healthcare Tax Credits
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