David Osman of IRF is joined by Ron William, the Founder of RW Advisory.
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Ron William is a market strategist with over 20 years of experience producing macro research and trading strategies for leading economic research & institutional firms. He specialises in blended, top-down, semi-discretionary analysis, driven by cycles and by his proprietary timing models, which use both quantitative and qualitative techniques.
In this podcast Ron explains why the trade-weighted dollar index (DXY) is likely to depreciate and assesses the outlook for the US currency against the euro, sterling and the Japanese yen. He then discusses the prospects for the government bond markets in the US and UK with reference to the recent trends in 10-year yields and the economic outlook.
With respect to the US stock market, Ron identifies the factors that have caused the US S&P 500 Index to become extremely overbought and discusses the potential for this to continue or unwind in 2024. He points out that the UK FTSE 100 Index is close to the middle of the 7,000 – 8,000 trading range that has been established for several years, however he foresees downside risks that could provide a healthy correction. Ron also discusses the reasons behind the very strong performance of the Japanese stock market and foresees the major uptrend in the Nikkei 225 Index continuing and eventually reaching a new all-time-high above the psychologically important 40,000 level. In conclusion, he discusses the performance of various commodities and highlights the bullish outlook for gold.
RW Advisory specialises in blended, top-down, semi-discretionary analysis, driven by cycles and proprietary timing models, which use both quantitative and qualitative techniques. Ron William is also a behavioural finance expert, trading psychologist and performance coach. He uses the latest techniques in behavioural/risk assessment modelling, peak-performance, neuro/body science and stress response management, including mindfulness and coherence training, supported by his market strategies.
“The Fed’s Dim Chances of Getting Inflation Under Control”, David Ranson, HCWE & Co.
Research and Markets: “China and Energy Prices will be the key Drivers of Financial Markets in 2023”, JP Smith, IRF
“The Financial Markets in 2022 and 2023”, Ron William, RW Advisory
“Japan in 2023: A Year of Major Transformation and Opportunities”, Ryoji Musha, Musha Research
“The Outlook for Commodity Prices in 2023”, Jeffrey Christian, CPM Group
Research and Markets: “Inflation, Redistribution, Emerging Markets and why Investors Should Adopt a More Absolute Return-Oriented Mindset”, JP Smith, IRF
“The UK Back From the Brink; Regeneration Through Deleveraging”, Dr Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
“Joining up the dots in China”, Anne Stevenson-Yang, J Capital Research
“Turkey: An Emerging Market Opportunity?”, Zekeriya Ozturk, iRes Independent Financial Research & Advisory
Research and Markets: “Key Developments in Emerging Markets, China and Russia/Ukraine”, JP Smith, IRF
“The Revival of Inflation: What Next?”, Manoj Pradhan, Talking Heads Macro
Research and Markets: “What is the Next Market Regime?”, JP Smith, IRF
“US Politics: The Prospects for 2023 & 2024”, James Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners
“China: CBB Proprietary Data Tells A Different Story”, Leland Miller, China Beige Book
“UK Politics: Continuity or Discontinuity?”, Helen Thomas, Blonde Money
“The Causes and Consequences of the Fed’s Misjudgement”, John Ryding, RDQ Economics
“Charting Future Trends in the World Stock Markets”, Lane Dusserre, SMI
“The UK Cost of Credit Crisis”, Dr Peter Warburton, Economic Perspectives
“World War 3”, David Murrin, Global Forecaster
“The US Economic Outlook: A Profitable Non-Consensus View”, Barry Knapp, Ironsides Macroeconomics
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