Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
When is a perfect forecast not a perfect forecast? When you got the reasons wrong. This ain't hurling hand grenades, where only the result matters - if you made a bunch of positive mistakes and a bunch of negative mistakes and they happen to offset, you're not a genius; you just got lucky. So today, Wall Street economists forecast 0.39% on Core CPI. That was exactly what they got. But for all the wrong reasons, and the reasons are important.
In this episode, the Inflation Guy (whose forecast wasn't even right, so who is he to judge?!) highlights the two things which dragged down Core inflation...neither of which was expected by almost anyone. So the news overall is good, not great, and the Inflation Guy will tell you why.
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Ep. 32: The Remarkable Story of Inflation Futures
Ep. 31: Why Gold is Like TIPS (or Vice-Versa)
Ep. 30: This Month’s CPI Report: General Alarm
Ep. 29: Waves and the Tide - What Housing Data is Really Saying
Ep. 28: This Month’s CPI Report - Peak Changes, not Peak Prices
Ep. 27: Reflections on this Century’s First 50bp Rate Hike
Ep. 26: I-Bonds - Smart Money with Small Money
Ep. 25:This Month’s CPI Report - Peak CPI? Yay?
Ep. 24: Home is Where the Hedge Is
Ep. 23: Grumpy Old Man Edition
Ep. 22: This Month’s CPI Report - Balls in the Air
Ep. 21: Recording for Posterity the Absurdity of Negative Interest Rates
Ep. 20: This Month’s CPI Report - The Ongoing Inflation Debate (?)
Ep. 19: Dual Duration - Why TIPS Are Exactly Half the Story
Ep. 18: Cash is an Option Whose Cost is Inflation
Ep. 17: This Month’s CPI Report - Are We Volked?
Ep. 16: The Fundamentals of Risk and Return in Commodities
Ep. 15: An Interview with Special Guest Milton Friedman
Ep. 14: This Month‘s CPI Report - 100% Policy Error
Ep. 13: Some General Thoughts About Inflation-Aware Investing
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