Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast
Business:Investing
When is a perfect forecast not a perfect forecast? When you got the reasons wrong. This ain't hurling hand grenades, where only the result matters - if you made a bunch of positive mistakes and a bunch of negative mistakes and they happen to offset, you're not a genius; you just got lucky. So today, Wall Street economists forecast 0.39% on Core CPI. That was exactly what they got. But for all the wrong reasons, and the reasons are important.
In this episode, the Inflation Guy (whose forecast wasn't even right, so who is he to judge?!) highlights the two things which dragged down Core inflation...neither of which was expected by almost anyone. So the news overall is good, not great, and the Inflation Guy will tell you why.
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Ep. 12: How Many Swallows Make a Spring?
Ep. 11: This Month‘s CPI Report - What Did You THINK Would Happen?
Ep. 10: A High-Velocity Tour of Velocity
Ep.9: This Month‘s CPI Report - A Watershed Moment
Ep.8: Hari Seldon, Psychohistory, and the Failings of Modern Macroeconomics
Ep. 7: Rents and Sensibility
Ep. 6: Evergrande and Inflation - Why the Model Matters
Ep. 5: Stagflation from a Monetarist‘s Perspective
Ep. 4: The Making of an Inflation Index
Ep. 3: Powell's Jackson Hole Perspectives on Inflation
Ep. 2: Diamond/Water Paradox
Ep 1: What I Believe
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