A solo episode from Paul. These are the notes I used... the audio is balanced differently.
Insight by Bernard Lonergan and 20/20 hindsight.
What else (besides the coronavirus and similar epidemics) are we not preparing for? Can we? We can't know all the unknowns, and it is somewhere between difficult and impossible to quantify the risks even for the things we can anticipate. Yet quantification is reasonable and laudable because individual lives do matter... the 1,000,001st victim of a tragedy just as much as the first.
Problem areas:
Education and the bureaucratic / engineering mentality "we already know everything we need to make a decision" and "let's do something to make it look like we're doing something."
Finance and the herd mentality. Bullwhip chains of overreaction in the face of unknown risks. A reacts semi-rationally to the situation, B overreacts to A's reaction, C overreacts to B, etc. Federal forgiveness, however good in itself, has the side effect of blinding banks to their own internal information channels regarding default rates, etc. Banks are looking around at employment figures and other data, guessing what to do, overreacting, looking at their peers and emulating the most extreme.
There are a lot of really tired people working in logistics right now.
Job seekers giving up due to pessimism and the difficulty in thinking statistically. It's hard for me to go ahead and spend the effort to do something when I know its individual success rate is well under 50%. Now things are worse. All that means is that more repetitions will be needed to achieve success. However, it is easy to fall into the fallacy of "it was hard before but worth trying; now it's harder and therefore not worth trying," making an all-or-nothing qualitative proposition out of something that in its nature is gradational and quantitative.
Hope really is a virtue.
Audio editing by Morgan Burkart.
Episode 037 - Jill Pasteris: Christian scientist
Bonus Episode - Nicolaus Steno
Episode 036 - Anne Hofmeister on Galactic Rotation, Math, and Glass
Episode 035 - Anne Hofmeister Shakes Up Earth Science
Episode 034 - Stephen Barr on Why to Be a Religious (and Catholic) Scientist
Episode 033 - Stephen Barr on Lemaitre-Hubble Law and the Society of Catholic Scientists
Episode 032 - Science and Saints
Request for Feedback
Episode 031 - Br. Guy Consolmagno: Teaching Science and Human Nature
Episode 030 - Br. Guy Consolmagno: Galileo and Carl Sagan
Episode 029 - Geological Awe
Episode 028 - Absolute Geologic Dating
Episode 027 - Relative Geologic Dating
Episode 026 - The Rejection of Young Earth Creationism in the 19th Century
Episode 025 - Geology after Steno: Catastrophism, Uniformitarianism, and Fideism
Episode 024 - Geology after Steno: Diluvialism, Neptunism, and Vulcanism
Episode 023 - Clericalism, Sex Abuse, Addiction, and Hope
Episode 022 - Nicolaus Steno (Niels Stensen) - The Protogeologist
Episode 021 - Hypocrisy and Geology: Battlegrounds Between Faith and Science
Episode 020 - Bill and Father Spitzer Talk Intellectual Culture and Education
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